Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 1.816486e-03 0.002004 0.002193 0.002396 0.002609 0.002824 0.003058
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.393800e-03 0.001680 0.001980 0.002315 0.002677 0.003055 0.003477
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1.090244e-03 0.001451 0.001847 0.002306 0.002818 0.003366 0.003991
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 8.336185e-04 0.001245 0.001720 0.002291 0.002947 0.003665 0.004501
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 6.506699e-04 0.001101 0.001647 0.002328 0.003131 0.004028 0.005088
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 4.986253e-04 0.000972 0.001578 0.002360 0.003305 0.004380 0.005668
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 3.680020e-04 0.000848 0.001500 0.002373 0.003452 0.004700 0.006213
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 2.417297e-04 0.000701 0.001376 0.002316 0.003507 0.004909 0.006631
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1.594687e-04 0.000600 0.001300 0.002310 0.003620 0.005183 0.007122
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 9.948465e-05 0.000516 0.001236 0.002314 0.003740 0.005462 0.007619
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 6.974864e-05 0.000481 0.001241 0.002407 0.003971 0.005876 0.008276
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 4.529018e-05 0.000446 0.001238 0.002488 0.004185 0.006269 0.008908
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.016382e-05 0.000337 0.001109 0.002393 0.004184 0.006417 0.009272
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 3.245717e-08 0.000258 0.001016 0.002344 0.004244 0.006644 0.009740
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.000207 0.000966 0.002359 0.004389 0.006981 0.010347
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.000160 0.000911 0.002361 0.004515 0.007296 0.010932
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.000131 0.000889 0.002411 0.004709 0.007698 0.011626
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.000104 0.000862 0.002452 0.004890 0.008085 0.012304
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.000078 0.000825 0.002471 0.005038 0.008430 0.012931
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.000046 0.000749 0.002417 0.005078 0.008631 0.013378
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.000028 0.000706 0.002415 0.005190 0.008927 0.013942
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.000015 0.000670 0.002421 0.005312 0.009234 0.014521
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.000012 0.000681 0.002518 0.005569 0.009721 0.015327